Thursday, May 25, 2023

You Can’t Be Serious!


If I can’t understand something it bothers me. What bothers me even more is other people think they know what I don’t know and, therefore, they think they are smarter than I am. This Blog Posting will do it’s best to make certain that you, Mr. Smarty Pants, are made aware of what you don’t know so you can understand that you are as confused as I am.

I am so proud of the above paragraph. I just love it when I get things off of my chest. My chest feels so much better. How’s does your chest feel?

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First let me clarify a few things for you regarding our current Statutory Debt Limit Crisis...

Ø Those Talking Heads on TV every night who smugly pontificate about the Statutory Debt Limit as if they know what they are talking about do not know what they are talking about.

Ø The Secretary of the Treasury on TV every other night who smugly pontificates about the Statutory Debt Limit as if she knows what she is talking about does not know what she is talking about.

Ø Sergeant Shultz put it quite well when he said, “I know nothing about the American Statutory Debt Limit”...

Winston Churchill said it better than Sergeant Shultz when he said, “The American Statutory Debt Limit is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma".

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Thanks to the Wall Street Journal I now have proof of all of the confusion I have pecked out above. Below are the first 2 paragraph of the proof article...

With the U.S. Treasury predicted to run out of cash (the “X date”) as early as June 1, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has started warning of an “economic calamity” if Congress doesn’t raise the statutory debt limit. According to Ms. Yellen, “whether it’s defaulting on interest payments that are due on the debt or payments due for Social Security recipients or to Medicare providers, we would simply not have enough cash to meet all of our obligations.” These claims are dangerously misleading.

Hitting the X date won’t cause a default on the national debt. Debt-service payments have a feature that most other government payments lack: When the government pays off maturing debt, the amount of debt subject to the statutory limit declines. This means that the government can “roll over” such obligations—that is, issue new debt to pay off old debt—without violating the debt limit.

Now do you understand? Glad I could help.

Would our rulers kid us?

Smartfella 

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The entire article is below...If I were you I would not bother to read it.

The Phony Debt-Ceiling ‘Calamity’

The Treasury made a plan to pay bondholders in 2011. It could do the same with Social Security.

By Conor J. Clarke and Kristin A. Shapiro

May 22, 2023 12:08 pm ET

With the U.S. Treasury predicted to run out of cash (the “X date”) as early as June 1, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has started warning of an “economic calamity” if Congress doesn’t raise the statutory debt limit. According to Ms. Yellen, “whether it’s defaulting on interest payments that are due on the debt or payments due for Social Security recipients or to Medicare providers, we would simply not have enough cash to meet all of our obligations.” These claims are dangerously misleading.

Hitting the X date won’t cause a default on the national debt. Debt-service payments have a feature that most other government payments lack: When the government pays off maturing debt, the amount of debt subject to the statutory limit declines. This means that the government can “roll over” such obligations—that is, issue new debt to pay off old debt—without violating the debt limit.

A plan to roll over debt after the X date—and thereby ensure that the debt is honored—is more than theoretical. It is a matter of public record that the Treasury made such a plan during a 2011 showdown over the debt limit, when one official explained that “the principal on Treasury securities that are maturing would be funded by having auctions that would roll over those maturing securities into new issues, so the new issues would be able to fund the redemption of the maturing securities.”

For a similar reason, hitting the X date need not stop Social Security and other payments that come from federal trust funds. The payroll taxes that are used to fund such benefits are invested in special Treasury securities that count toward the debt limit. The Treasury has the authority to redeem these securities to pay benefits; when it does so, debt subject to the statutory limit declines. Thus paying Social Security benefits—like paying maturing principal on the public debt—can create headroom under the limit, making rollover strategies possible. In both 1985 and 1996, following similar debt-limit conflicts, the comptroller general concluded that such strategies would be lawful because they wouldn’t “increase the total amount of outstanding debt subject to the statutory limit,” and thus wouldn’t “usurp the congressional power under the Constitution to borrow.”

Paying Social Security benefits and servicing the national debt are not only lawful; they are legally obligatory. Because the Biden administration can continue making such payments regardless of the statutory debt limit, and because such payments wouldn’t come at the cost of any other federal payments, it must do so. Otherwise, the administration would fail its constitutional duty to execute those statutes faithfully—an argument that would apply even without the support of the 14th Amendment’s Public Debt Clause.

Most government payments don’t involve rolling over debt. That includes interest payments on the public debt, because only the “face amount” of the debt counts toward the statutory debt limit. But on a monthly basis, interest is a relatively small fraction of incoming tax revenue, and the government has broad lawful authority to prioritize payments after the X date. With advance planning, such as what the Treasury undertook in 2011, interest payments can continue.

More broadly, the government regularly faces situations in which Congress hasn’t appropriated enough money to fulfill the mandate of a spending statute, or in which external circumstances render spending infeasible. In Morton v. Ruiz (1974), the Supreme Court held that such circumstances don’t deprive the executive branch of the “power to create reasonable classifications . . . to allocate the limited funds available.” In 1985 the comptroller general confirmed that such discretion would extend to the debt limit, opining that after the X date, “Treasury is free to liquidate obligations in any order it finds will best serve the interests of the United States.”

The X date still presents uncertainty, and we don’t want to appear pollyannaish. But the executive branch has both the power and the obligation to make debt-service and Social Security payments, and it has broad authority to prioritize the most pressing of the government’s remaining obligations. For those reasons, it may well be that hitting the X date—and a short lapse in the government’s ability to raise revenue—looks like a temporary government shutdown that follows an appropriations lapse.

When the government temporarily shuts down (as it did repeatedly during the Clinton, Obama and Trump presidencies), some federal obligations go temporarily unmet. When the shutdown ends, the obligations are paid. Shutdowns happen because the government runs out of lawful authority to spend; the X date would happen because the government runs out of lawful authority to raise revenue.

In one respect, hitting the X date could be less disruptive than a government shutdown. The Antideficiency Act requires that many federal functions cease during a shutdown, and most federal employees are prohibited from working. But there is no analogous limit on federal functions after the X date—so many such functions could continue even if payments are delayed.

Congress can take several steps to correct misleading claims about the debt limit, which threaten to spook markets as the X date approaches. First, the House should subpoena Treasury officials to confirm the executive branch’s broad legal authority to satisfy the government’s most pressing obligations after the X date. The House should also confirm the Treasury’s practical ability to prioritize certain key obligations. Although officials in 2011 explained how a limited prioritization plan could be implemented using Treasury’s systems, Ms. Yellen warned recently that those “systems are built to pay all of our bills on time and not to pick and choose which bills to pay.”

Second, the Bipartisan Legal Advisory Group should issue a statement confirming the Treasury’s legal authority to roll debt over to make debt-service and Social Security payments after the X date. The group is composed of the speaker and other House leaders of both parties and “speaks for, and articulates the institutional position of, the House in all litigation matters.” With the executive branch and the House united, markets could rest assured that such payments will continue and that no credible legal challenge to them will arise.

Ms. Yellen recently stated that if Congress fails to raise the debt limit, “we will have an economic and financial catastrophe that will be of our own making.” But if a catastrophe arises, it may be because the markets take the worst debt-limit scaremongering seriously rather than appropriately discount it as another negotiation tactic.

Mr. Clarke is an incoming associate professor at the Washington University in St. Louis School of Law. Ms. Shapiro practices appellate and constitutional law in Washington and is a senior fellow at the Independent Women’s Forum. Both served as attorney-advisers at the Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel during the Trump and Biden administrations.

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

Smart Fella and The Noticer, (since you wear many Hats) need to be the Czar of The Department of Explanation. B.B.

Anonymous said...

I am also confused. Why do all the corrupt politicians hit our hot buttons, Social Security, our money, Medicare, Rx coverage etc. in a debt ceiling crisis. But not once do the same crooked politicians talk about cutting out any of their lifetime perks, pay for life after a measly 1-year, medical benefits for life, plus their other stolen benefits from The American people. We could solve our deficit immediately if these crooks were put on S S, Medicare, etc. In addition when you’re out you’re out of the halls of government. No sweetheart employment deals with contractors you ruled when you were a federal employee. You leave congress, supreme court, & the stolen WH in your own personal vehicle not all the American people’s vehicles. You leave DC like Harry & Bess in their own vehicle and no retirement! GET A JOB!

Anonymous said...

Letting the debt limit soar would be akin to surrendering at Pearl Harbor, exonerating Idi Amin, or inviting a Russian into your home - a catastrophic decision that jeopardizes our financial security and undermines the very principles of fiscal responsibility. It's time to stand firm, demand accountability, and put an end to this reckless cycle. Let's chart a course towards responsible spending, balanced budgets, and a brighter future for generations to come. The debt ceiling battle is one we cannot afford to lose. Can’t we just take all the Russian oligarch money and pay it off?

Anonymous said...

Corrupt politicians should be held accountable by cutting their lifetime perks and benefits, and making them part of programs like Social Security and Medicare. Eliminating sweetheart employment deals and lifelong pensions would promote fairness and responsibility. Prioritizing the needs of the people over personal gain is crucial for a government that truly represents its citizens.

Anonymous said...

Get a job... get a job. I'm tired of hearing that. I've served my local constituency for years. Their gratitude may be limited, but their education level balances it out. Despite my penmanship struggles (it’s a thing) in Louisiana's grammar school, I navigated a successful political career in the state. Handwriting isn't everything; understanding dynamics, connecting with communities, and addressing specific needs are crucial for a politician (I’m actually being serious about this). Effective communication, community engagement, and policy expertise helped me overcome my penmanship limitations. In resilient Louisiana, I learned to excel through alternative communication methods. Our potential isn't defined by a single skill or setback, but by determination, adaptability, and commitment to serving Louisiana's “great”people.

Anonymous said...

Are they serious? Raise the debt ceiling again? It's a never-ending nightmare of financial irresponsibility! I can't believe this madness!

Raising the debt ceiling is just a Band-Aid solution. It's like patching a crumbling dam. Our fiscal foundations are collapsing, and this is their solution?

What message does it send? Reckless spending without consequences. Burdening future generations with our mistakes. It's unfair!

No accountability! Elected officials escape consequences. They kick the can, avoiding responsibility. It's infuriating!

Long-term consequences are terrifying! Financial Russian roulette. Subject to foreign creditors. Is this the future we want?

Enough! Draw a line and say no more! Address the root causes. Demand accountability. Secure a brighter future.

Consider the consequences! The message sent! The burden on future Americans. Get serious about our financial future. Make tough choices!

No more madness! Take action for fiscal responsibility and true accountability. Our future depends on it!

Anonymous said...

I’m confused and scared about the debt ceiling. I don’t know what will happen if the government doesn’t raise it. I’m worried about the impact on my family and my finances. I wish I knew what to do.

Anonymous said...

I saw what happens when a country's economy collapses. I grew up in Korea during the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis. It was a disaster. Many people lost their jobs, and the value of the Korean won went down a lot. I remember seeing people lining up for food and medicine, and I know that a lot of families had to sell their home.

My parents were both working class people and the crisis had a big impact on their lives. My father lost his job, and my mother had to take two jobs to give food for the family. We had to move out of our house and into a smaller apartment. We also had to spend less, and we didn't have any money for vacations or to go to the cinema.

The crisis was a difficult time for my family, but we were able to get through it. We learned to appreciate the things we had, and we became more resourceful. We also learned the importance of saving money and planning for the future. This is what I am trying to say.

What we experienced is why I came to America. I am grateful for the opportunity to live here. So I want to say that we need to be careful and not to borrow too much because it can be dangerous. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

My friend sent me this blog. Lots of words, so I couldn’t finish the bottom part but wanted to say that I’ve been getting mad about this. Can regular people raise the debt ceiling too? I have a lot of credit cards that I can’t pay off. I got myself into this mess a long time ago but I can’t just decide to not pay or to ask for a debt ceiling - like ask the credit card companies to just keep letting me put the interest on my balance forever. That’s what this is right?

Also, If student loans are being forgiven, shouldn’t they consider our credit card debt as well? It’s time for fairness and help for people who are struggling. Even if it is our own fault.